Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

After suffering the first loss of his professional boxing career to rival Tommy Fury (watch it), social media star Jake Paul returns to hunting aging Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) veterans when he battles Nate Diaz this Saturday (Aug. 5, 2023) on DAZN pay-per-view (PPV).

It’s a matchup designed to draw eyes, and where there’s public interest, there’s betting opportunities. Let’s see what the lads at DraftKings have for us this time …

Moneyline

Jake Paul -390
Nate Diaz +280

Alternative Total Rounds

Over 5.5 −245
Under 5.5 +175
Over 6.5 −165
Under 6.5 +120
Over 8.5 +110
Under 8.5 −150

Fight Outcome

Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision +350
Jake Paul by KO/TKO/DQ −150
Draw +1200
Nate Diaz by Decision or Technical Decision +750
Nate Diaz by KO/TKO/DQ +550

Alternate Fight Outcome

Jake Paul to Win by KO +240
Jake Paul to Win by TKO +125
Jake Paul to Win by Disqualification +3500
Jake Paul to Win by Unanimous Decision +500
Jake Paul to Win by Split Decision +1200
Jake Paul to Win by Majority Decision +2200
Nate Diaz to Win by KO +1600
Nate Diaz to Win by TKO +700
Nate Diaz to Win by Disqualification +6500
Nate Diaz to Win by Unanimous Decision +1100
Nate Diaz to Win by Split Decision +2200
Nate Diaz to Win by Majority Decision +4000

Fight To End In First 60 Seconds of Round 1

Yes +10000

Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images

Moneyline / Total Knockdowns

Jake Paul to Win and Over 1.5 Knockdowns +200
Jake Paul to Win and Under 1.5 Knockdowns −110
Nate Diaz to Win and Over 1.5 Knockdowns +800
Nate Diaz to Win and Under 1.5 Knockdowns +475

Both Fighters to Be Knocked Down

Yes +400
No −750

Either Fighter to Be Knocked Down

Yes −380
No +250

Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down

Yes +280
No −425

Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down

Yes −245
No +175

To Be Knocked Down and Win

Jake Paul +700
Nate Diaz +1800

Total Knockdowns

Over 1.5 +140
Under 1.5 −195

Knockdown Round Betting

Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down in Round 1 +3000
Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-3 +1000
Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-6 +300
Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down in Round 1 +1200
Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-3 +300
Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-6 −165

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Round Betting

Jake Paul to Win In Round 1 +2200
Jake Paul to Win In Round 2 +1600
Jake Paul to Win In Round 3 +1400
Jake Paul to Win In Round 4 +1200
Jake Paul to Win In Round 5 +1000
Jake Paul to Win In Round 6 +1000
Jake Paul to Win In Round 7 +1000
Jake Paul to Win In Round 8 +1200
Jake Paul to Win In Round 9 +1400
Jake Paul to Win In Round 10 +1600
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 1 +10000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 2 +8000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 3 +6500
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 4 +5000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 5 +4000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 6 +4000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 7 +4000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 8 +4000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 9 +5000
Nate Diaz to Win In Round 10 +6500

Alternate Round Betting

Jake Paul to Win In 1-5 Rounds +260
Jake Paul to Win In 6-10 Rounds +210
Nate Diaz to Win In 1-5 Rounds +1400
Nate Diaz to Win In 6-10 Rounds +1000

Round Group Betting

Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 1-2 +900
Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 3-4 +650
Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 5-6 +500
Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 7-8 +550
Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 9-10 +750
Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 1-2 +4000
Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 3-4 +3000
Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 5-6 +2200
Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 7-8 +2200
Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 9-10 +3000

When Will The Fight End

To Go the Distance +165
Round 6 +800
Round 7 +800
Round 5 +800
Round 4 +900
Round 8 +1000
Round 3 +1100
Round 9 +1100
Round 10 +1200
Round 2 +1400
Round 1 +2000

Either Alternate Round Betting

Fight to Be Won in Rounds 6-10 +150
Fight to Be Won in Rounds 1-5 +210

Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Thoughts: Jake Paul is going to win this fight. Diaz is 38 years old, competing 30 pounds above his ideal fighting weight, and does not seem to care about this fight whatsoever. Paul straight-up at better than -400 is a steal.

Besides that, I’d wager on the fight going past the sixth round. Diaz is incredibly difficult to stop through any means other than cuts and swelling, which are a more remote possibility than in the cage due to the larger gloves. I’d be willing to go in on Paul by decision at +350 — Diaz usually only gets stopped via cuts or swelling, which shouldn’t be as much of an issue with the big gloves.

Really, I just don’t see either man engaging enough to produce a finish unless Diaz completely phones in his preparation and comes out so slow and flat-footed that Paul can tee off for a mercy stoppage. In short, bank on this being severely underwhelming.

To check out the latest and greatest Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz event-led news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.